Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 863.252046 977.317025 1104.999071 1259.310186 1441.806526 1652.059801 1914.502473
2025-04-20 707.970271 861.715222 1050.632768 1303.260557 1637.509709 2072.283030 2693.661069
2025-04-27 616.477848 785.007050 1004.703750 1318.662202 1767.037197 2402.671617 3407.398984
2025-05-04 551.178369 727.015573 967.193901 1329.368347 1880.516116 2721.674948 4176.092943
2025-05-11 500.221351 679.263057 933.523911 1334.863437 1980.312516 3032.551789 5009.417443
2025-05-18 470.250006 656.129390 929.957170 1381.548242 2148.198715 3483.613462 6218.354968
2025-05-25 442.856372 632.793938 921.822873 1417.651036 2302.245228 3942.104147 7593.822494
2025-06-01 414.866358 605.054399 902.707043 1431.330919 2417.266809 4352.166928 9015.842340
2025-06-08 388.385656 576.727047 878.914257 1432.541796 2507.796871 4732.981451 10519.686399
2025-06-15 370.686458 560.537006 872.936477 1463.864075 2661.147732 5283.051900 12695.481499
2025-06-22 341.716098 523.218959 827.137520 1414.995962 2642.251897 5441.627718 13861.420773
2025-06-29 316.848677 490.759450 786.707823 1371.206981 2626.434235 5603.731347 15119.953342
2025-07-06 292.443309 457.815746 743.495753 1318.852479 2587.988425 5713.528129 16319.372064
2025-07-13 284.394362 452.514215 749.705199 1366.622464 2785.772943 6496.760382 20391.609648
2025-07-20 272.855071 440.046398 741.323736 1382.868508 2912.615131 7127.908389 24382.085858
2025-07-27 261.731360 427.411504 731.347866 1394.246445 3029.885857 7772.105970 29001.260968
2025-08-03 250.913041 414.492928 719.585899 1400.081076 3134.379409 8415.470797 34267.222352
2025-08-10 245.682968 411.467158 726.866069 1449.673240 3366.399249 9572.669957 43701.944582
2025-08-17 239.549669 406.244179 729.183149 1488.042652 3576.685997 10749.892560 55076.291099
2025-08-24 231.509017 396.781254 721.937623 1502.585502 3721.761635 11751.690593 67023.650916
2025-08-31 222.831704 385.491706 709.911094 1503.872874 3827.794546 12650.892140 79996.670647
2025-09-07 217.500175 380.404410 710.571703 1537.179891 4042.933507 14132.871567 102035.062248
2025-09-14 205.498867 361.312303 679.569366 1485.220349 3969.848635 14273.057851 110403.715820